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Thursday was a “lower yields, higher stocks” session. Waller’s comments pushed the 10-year Treasury yield down to 4.77%, lifting rate-sensitive technology shares. Crude held in the low $90s (WTI), with Brent near $95. The dollar traded around 156 yen (Sept. 3 ECB reference), with the yen near a one-month high as markets priced in a possible Bank of Japan rate hike at its Sept. 17-18 meeting.

Stocks in Focus

  • Japanese trading houses (Mitsubishi Corp., Mitsui & Co.): rose after Berkshire Hathaway reaffirmed it intends to hold the shares for the long term.
  • Big Tech and semiconductors: bought back as yields fell; Broadcom was the exception, slipping after results.
  • Energy: supported by firm crude prices and Middle East risk.

This is information, not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Compass Insight

The market’s logic today is simple — lower yields, higher stocks — but the foundation is shaky. One Fed official’s remark was enough to pull the 10-year down, yet oil is still in the low $90s. If shipping through Hormuz thins, higher pump and utility prices would follow, and central banks would find it harder to cut. The near-term hinges on this month’s U.S. inflation prints and the BOJ’s mid-September meeting: a hot number could reverse the rally quickly. Further out, watch two unstable “upstream” forces on prices — a tariff framework thrown into flux by the Supreme Court, and a war premium in crude that refuses to fade. Households with floating-rate debt should assume borrowing costs can still rise, even as headline rates drift lower for now.

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Auto-generated and AI-written. Not investment advice.