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Compass Insight

The weekend’s biggest headlines came from outside the markets, but they carry a market message. By sanctioning the ICC as an institution, Washington has opened a visible rift with its closest allies, including Japan — a reminder that policy shocks from the U.S. can now arrive from almost any direction. Meanwhile, stocks ended the week higher across the board only after yields and oil cooled. That makes next week’s data unusually important: a hot CPI reading (consensus is 3.7% year over year) could revive rate-hike fears quickly. In the short term, watch CPI and what bank CEOs say about borrowers. Longer term, watch whether allied pushback over the ICC spills into trade and security talks.

Markets

Markets were closed for the weekend. Friday (Oct. 9) closes:

  • Dow: 51,654.95 (+0.83%; +0.9% for the week) · S&P 500: 7,811.54 (+0.59%; +1.2% for the week) · Nasdaq: 27,366.17 (+0.64%; +0.6% for the week, its fourth straight weekly gain) — Yahoo Finance
  • Oil: WTI in the low $90s
  • USD/JPY: 158.25 (ECB reference rate, Oct. 9)
  • Nikkei 225: 69,030.92, down slightly. Tokyo is closed Monday for Sports Day.

Stocks in Focus


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